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Spread Betting Markets Expecting a Good Day

Wednesday, September 1st, 2010

Two different views of the spread betting markets for you today:

According to BetOnMarkets:

  • Stock market futures are indicating a positive start to the day after a weak session yesterday.
  • Chinese Manufacturing numbers came in slightly above expectations, while Australian GDP smashed estimates to come in at 1.2%.
  • The mood has shifted to glass half full again with the yen under pressure and the Aussie dollar in demand. The AUD/JPY is up 1.12% and the AUD/USD up 1%.
  • Traders are also taking some money off the table on the Swiss franc as the currency gives back some of yesterday’s gains. The EUR/CHF is up 0.44% and the USD/CHF up 0.15%.
  • Gold is still in demand, trading above $1,250 briefly this morning. Gold has closed above this level only twice before.
  • Coming up today we have UK manufacturing PMI at 09.30. A slight dip is expected.
  • Following this we start the monthly jobs merry go round once again at 13.30 with the release of US ADP employment data. This is often (not always) a good steer for Friday’s more important Non Farm Payrolls.
  • We also have US ISM manufacturing at 15.00.

And according to Spreadex:

A positive start to the day, with FTSE up currently 80 points, starting its positive drive from around 9.30am onwards and now broken the 5300 mark.

Top riser is Cable and Wireless, up near 11% followed by the miners.

Chinese manufacturing picked up after a downward trend and Australia’s economy grew at the fastest rate in 3 years. However, manufacturing in Europe appears to be cooling and UK PMI came out below forecasts.

Markets are still data driven at the moment and very fickle, so today’s gains could easily turn depending on data from the US.

ADP employment data will set the tone for the afternoon, and there is the continual manufacturing theme at 3pm, the markets will be cheering any signs that the US Economy isn’t grinding to a halt as recent data as would suggest.

Dow Futures are up 97 so it looks like the markets are expecting it to be a good day for the markets.

 

Spread betting is a leveraged product. It carries a high level of risk to your capital and, as it is possible to lose more than your initial investment, it may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, ensure you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. The tax treatment of spread bets may be subject to change in the future

The above should not be construed in any circumstances as a recommendation or offer to sell or recommendation or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument.

Commodities Spread Betting Markets Look to Move Higher

Wednesday, June 30th, 2010

The gold spread betting market continues to grind higher and the metal has had another go a breaking above the $1,265 mark. That is the third attempt in the last week and spread traders are closing many of their buying positions.

In the short term, the bulls will be looking for a close above $1,260 per ounce very soon. If that does not happen then the probabilities may start to favour a price reversal. Note that you can speculate on the gold market to go up or down with companies like IG Index and FinancialSpreads.com.

Like gold, the crude oil spread betting market has also continued its general move higher although the expiry of the monthly futures contracts has recently added $1.50 to the price.

For well over a year now the forward-month contracts have tended to be at least a $1.00 higher than the expiring month. This price behaviour is having an odd impact on those long-term traders who are spread betting on crude oil prices to drop.

Although the outright ‘headline’ price of a barrel of crude oil has hardly moved in a year, a trader who had been shorting the market would be $12 per barrel better off. Naturally the reverse is true for those who have been consistently long of the oil market.

Overall though we are in the middle of a rather wide $69 to $78 range. As the market continues to move between these two points, traders seem quite happy to sell as the price approaches the $78 level. A word of warning though, if the oil market does break out beyond the $78 level then we could see a sharp upwards shift in price. Anyone selling the market should take care.

It is a simple fact that when speculating on the financial markets there are ever present risks, irrespective of the investment format. It doesn’t matter whether you are using CFDs, spread betting on commodities or investing in stocks and shares, you can lose money on your investment.

But what options are there for those wanting a fast, flexible method of investment which also offers a wide variety of markets and the all important risk management tools?

Here in the UK, and increasingly across the international community, many think that spread betting provides an answer.

When talking about investments though, as stated above, there are risks. All forms of speculation and investment have a negative side. If you spread bet you can lose more than you initially invested.

It is useful to note a few other points that the following warning notice covers, ‘Spread betting does carry a high level of risk. Before spread betting, please ensure that spread betting matches your investment objectives. Familiarise yourself with the risks that are involved. Where necessary, seek independent advice’.

When financial spread betting there are plenty of other positives, for example, you can buy and sell when spread betting ie speculate on markets to rise or fall.

When opening or closing a position with a financial spread betting firm there aren’t any broker’s fees.

A large range of markets are on offer. Investors can trade on a significant number of markets from popular indices such as the Dow Jones or FTSE 100, to the soft commodities, minor forex and bonds markets. Naturally you can trade both the oil and gold markets.

FTSE 100 and DAX 30 Slump

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

Investors continued to flee risky asset classes on Tuesday, using yesterday’s small gains as an opportunity to close out positions at higher levels, causing European Indices to slump 2.5%.

Worries about the potential for high sovereign debt to destabilise growth is weighing down any appetite for risk. One prime example of this is the fact that the mining sector, one of the strongest sectors in yesterday’s session, is the heaviest faller today, with investors using yesterday’s gains as a chance to exit trades at higher levels.

When investors use market bounces as opportunities to sell and not market dips as opportunities to buy, it paints a picture that sentiment is very weak.

Investors continue to sell out of the heavyweight miners and banking stocks causing Lloyds shares to hit a new 2 month low.

Most of the buys we have seen have been to invest in the typical safe haven assets such as the US dollar and Gold.

The Dollar Index has risen over 2% this week already and is nearing a new 14 month high, which exemplifies the depth of the recent flights to safe havens.

UK GDP revised to 0.3% as expected

The markets reacted little to the upward revision of UK GDP, which came in largely expected by traders. However, there remains growing concerns that recent headwinds both at home and abroad could stunt the UK recovery.

Investors are likely to watch carefully both the details of the emergency budget in late June and the sovereign debt crisis within the Eurozone, which accounts for approximately 60% of UK exports, to assess its potential impact on UK growth going forward.

 

Please remember that Spread Betting and CFD Trading are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses that could quickly exceed your initial outlay. These products may not be suitable for everyone, so please make sure you fully understand the risks involved.

By Joshua Raymond, Market Strategist, City Index.

The above should not be construed in any circumstances as a recommendation or offer to sell or recommendation or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument.

Neither City Index not Spread-Betting.org warrant or represent that the material is accurate, complete, not misleading, or fit for the purpose which it is intended and it should not be relied upon as such.

Spread Trading - Shares Bounce as Investors Look for Bargains

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

European shares recovered some of yesterdays 2% losses as investors hunted for bargains in the banks after news that Dubai World has reached a deal to restructure its large debt. However, continued weakness in the miners kept gains on a leash.

The main gainers today are the banks, which are having a bit of a respite thanks to the Dubai World debt restructuring deal. Whilst energy firms are also higher on the back of weaker than expected crude stockpiles.

Continued mining weakness is giving us a clear indication that sentiment is still weak and market confidence remains low, for now. The nature and circumstances of the German ban on naked short selling is still on investor’s minds though the initial shock has certainly been digested.

Are the Gold Price Falls Positive for Shares?

The large falls in the price of Gold over the last 48 hours is however a positive sign that flights to safe havens has paused somewhat and investors could be enticed to recycle some of their gains here back into equities should Indices start to show signs of stabilisation.

All the noise around the markets has been negative for a good few weeks now, such as the Euro Zone debt situation, impending large scale austerity measures, the German short selling ban, and so it is no surprise that market confidence has taken a severe knock.

UK Retail Sales

UK Retail Sales rose more than expected for the month of April, growing by 0.3%. However, the market reaction was rather muted and investors remain cautious for the outlook of the high street with impending budget cuts and potential tax rises to come when Chancellor Osbourne announces his emergency budget on June 22nd.

 

Please remember that Spread Betting and CFD Trading are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses that could quickly exceed your initial outlay. These products may not be suitable for everyone, so please make sure you fully understand the risks involved.

By Giles Watts, Head of Equities, City Index.

The above should not be construed in any circumstances as a recommendation or offer to sell or recommendation or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument.

Neither City Index not Spread-Betting.org warrant or represent that the material is accurate, complete, not misleading, or fit for the purpose which it is intended and it should not be relied upon as such.

Spread Betting Stock Market Indices Tumble

Friday, May 14th, 2010

European Indices tumbled on Friday with the FTSE 100 and DAX falling at least 1%, whilst the IBEX was the main sufferer, losing 4% as deficit issues continued to weigh on sentiment.

Investors are having to recognise that as economies start to get to grips with the important fiscal cuts needed to reign in deficits, consumers will have less cash to spend and this could impact on company earnings and economic growth. The outlook warnings from Sony, Cisco and Kohl over the last 24 hours have provided a stark reminder of this.

Trading has been particularly choppy with traders refusing to let their gains run in fear that they may lose them and it is this quick position taking that is hampering any upside momentum Indices are able to garner for now.

We have seen investors continue to move money out of the banks and miners and into the safe havens of the US Dollar and Gold. This has helped the US Dollar Index to rally to a new yearly high whilst Gold continues to trade near record highs.

The miners, banks, retailers and energy sectors are all heavily weaker today and this insinuates that investors are happy to close out some of their gains as the week draws to a close, particularly after the previous 2 weeks of hefty losses.

 

Please remember that Spread Betting and CFD Trading are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses that could quickly exceed your initial outlay. These products may not be suitable for everyone, so please make sure you fully understand the risks involved.

By Joshua Raymond, Market Strategist City Index.

The above should not be construed in any circumstances as a recommendation or offer to sell or recommendation or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument.

Neither City Index not Spread-Betting.org warrant or represent that the material is accurate, complete, not misleading, or fit for the purpose which it is intended and it should not be relied upon as such.

Commodities Spread Betting - Gold and Oil Update

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

Gold once again confirmed the power of technical levels yesterday.

The $1132/34 mark was the resistance and the metal finally pushed through this level in early action to reach up to $1139 in the follow through.

However the break has achieved no other momentum and we have returned several times to the resistance, now support, of $1132/34.

Traders seem to want a higher price but are running out of buyers every time we push upwards. A break back under $1132 might open up to a return to $1118/22 or even $1102/04 if confidence is dented by the failure of the rally.

To the upside we are obviously looking at $1140/42 which has proved something of a watershed in times past.

Looking at the Crude Oil market and we continue ever upwards.

$91.50 is the immediate target for bulls but $100 per barrel is obviously in the minds of many.

Bears continue to cling on but the pressure is getting harder to take. The last two sessions have seen us peak at just under $87. Early action today has seen a similar reaction.

The bullish trend line support is currently just under $86 and a break may lead to further selling.

Risk Warning: Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital. You may lose more than your initial investment. It may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

The above comments do not constitute investment advice and neither Financial Spreads nor Spread-Betting.org accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of them.

Comment by Financial Spreads is a trading name of London Capital Group Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). Registered address: is 4th Floor, 12 Appold Street, London EC2A 2AW.